Exchange Rate Risk Premium in Vietnam

نویسندگان

چکیده

This study characterises the exchange rate risk premium in context of a small open economy with controlled floating regime. The empirical analysis applies time-varying coefficients Bayesian structural vector autoregressive (TVC-BSVAR) model on data from Vietnamese over sample period February 2012 to 2019. evidence shows that varies time, and increases inflation foreign direct investment capital inflows, but decreases output growth credit growth. TVC-BSVAR displayed highly accurate forecasting performance, accounting for nearly 94% case using US dollar forward selling contract.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Malaysian journal of economic studies

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1511-4554']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.22452/mjes.vol59no2.7